VP and Astralis are matched up against each other in the Quarterfinals of ESL One Cologne 2016 to be held on the 8th of July 2016 at 10:00 CEST
Astralis are playing with two standins. They were anyways playing with Glaive as the standin for the Major. However with Dupreeh undergoing a infection that forced him to be in the hospital and their performance still was unfazed. Yesterday in their match against Dignitas they played with two of their worst maps in the pool, Cache And Cobblestone. These are also the best maps for Dignitas. Now Dignitas is by no means a bad team or a low level team by any means. We saw the first map being won by Dignitas in a very close match on Overtime. Remember that match was also a comeback by Dignitas from 12-15 to 19-16. Considering this is the worst map for Astralis. Astralis have a very strong map pool. Their performance this major has been sub par so far, especially considering the fact that we know how high their peak is.
Virtus Pro have been in a huge slump since the last few months. Recently they did pick up their gameplay and their performance has been looking good. But you also have to consider the fact that they have been facing against the lower skilled teams. As such we have not really seen their real skill. It still feels that VP are quite rusty when it comes to matches. Astralis did not look rusty yesterday at all. Yes they had some very close matches, but when you consider its ⅔ of their worst maps you have to give them credit for that.
The odds right now are 24% Astralis. I feel under no circumstances should they be worth 24%. If anything they definitely should not be underdogs. That being said, lets talk about maps.
The ban from VP is quite straightforward. It is going to be Dust2. Astralis banned Nuke yesterday, but that was mainly cause of the fact that Dignitas have shown an affinity towards Nuke especially in the ESL Cologne Major Qualifiers. They obviously took a gamble with them trying to play Cobblestone. Didn’t really pay out, but the end result was decent enough. Astralis should want to ban Cobblestone here. It’s one of the best maps for VP ( they definitely have shown tonnes of improvement in their gameplay on this map) and is one of the worst maps for Astralis as was evident from their match yesterday
The Prediction : 55%-45% Astralis
The Bet : Low on Astralis.